Weather 20/20, LLC
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Weather forecasting models have been using the same atmospheric flow calculations since 1922. It’s a system rooted in plugging a set of initial conditions into physics formulas and then seeing where they may lead over time. Modern technology has allowed us to use better initial conditions and now repeat those calculations millions of times but we still simply pick the least absurd outcomes. This has proven to be effective in short term forecasting but becomes unreliable outside of the 7 to 10 day window. Why does this happen?
Physics models are trying to simulate and predict the conditions of the entire atmosphere. But they can only approximate those conditions. The errors in their approximations compound over time, rendering their longer range forecasts useless. Weather 20/20’s model takes a different approach. We don’t attempt to simulate the atmosphere; We identify cycles in the atmosphere's behavior over time. These cycles can then be used to project forward actual weather conditions over long windows of time. We use what actually happened to predict what is going to happen.
The LRC is Weather 20/20’s proprietary methodology & technology used to identify the foundational cycles of our long range modeling data. It is global. The core tenet of the LRC is a unique pattern that establishes itself each year. Key influences of the LRC include (but are not limited to) El Nino/La Nina patterns, harmonics and the Arctic and North Atlantic oscillation cycle.